Discussion:
With Two Weeks to Go, Kamala's Edge Has Evaporated
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P. Coonan
2024-10-22 22:48:28 UTC
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The Kamala Harris basement campaign seemed to be working for a while. Lots
of Democrats were understandably excited to be getting rid of aging Joe
Biden as their standard-bearer. And a carefully choreographed rollout of
Harris, then Walz gave them weeks of positive news to build on. But about
3-4 weeks ago the air started going out of the balloon.

The national media started noticing that Harris had decided to sidestep
them in favor of radio interviews (where she could read from her notes) or
local swing-state interviews which were unlikely to make national news if
she got herself in trouble. The Harris campaign was clearly trying to run
out the clock but you almost feel that it wasn't working. They were
risking letting Trump climb back into the race.

Jump forward to today and with just two weeks left to go, most polls show
things have been drifting toward Trump nationally. The race now appears to
be a tie in every battleground state.

Most of the major national polls have showed a shift toward Mr. Trump
since their prior surveys:

Mr. Trump led by two points nationwide in a Fox News poll; Ms. Harris led
by two points in its prior poll.

Fairleigh Dickinson University found Ms. Harris ahead by three nationwide,
while she led by seven in its prior poll.

Marquette Law School found a tied race, compared with a six-point lead for
Ms. Harris in August.

Ipsos fielded several polls showing Ms. Harris up between two and four
points over the last week, compared with leads of mostly five or six
points in September.

Emerson College found a tied race, compared with a two-point lead for Ms.
Harris in its prior poll.

Again, what matters here is not what any individual poll says but the
agreement of all the polls (except for Marist which showed Harris up 5)
that the race is moving toward Trump. It looks like Harris' run-out-the-
clock strategy didn't work.

With polls now showing a tie the obvious question becomes, how reliable
with the polling be this year? It has underestimated Trump's support
before. Is it doing so again this year? Unfortunately the answer to that
question is that no one really knows.

Will the polls be wrong again this cycle?

It’s the question I probably get most, for obvious reasons. Unfortunately,
it’s not an easy one to answer, and one reason might surprise you:
Pollsters still don’t know exactly why the polls underestimated Donald J.
Trump four years ago.

As a post-election report by professional pollsters put it: “Identifying
conclusively why polls overstated the Democratic-Republican margin
relative to the certified vote appears to be impossible with the available
data.”

The exact explanation matters. Under some theories, polls may be much
better in 2024; under others, pollsters are still vulnerable to another
misfire.

So the polls could be right this time out and we could be looking at the
tightest of tie races. Or, the polls could be underestimating Trump's
support again and Trump might actually be ahead by 3-4 points in every
battleground state, which would make for a very sad election night for
Democrats.

I can only guess as the outcome but at this moment it does feel as if this
is slipping away from the Dems and maybe they know it too. But of course
there are still 2 weeks to go and cornered animals are dangerous, as the
saying goes. There's no telling what October surprise Democrats have been
holding onto just in case things look desperate.

https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2024/10/22/with-two-weeks-to-go-kamalas-edge-
has-evaporated-n3796127
186282@ud0s4.net
2024-10-22 23:36:40 UTC
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I don't think K ever *really* had an edge - more
a MSM/Soros illusion.

In any case, she's drifted so far down now that even
her "friends" can't hide it anymore.

Between a Very Irritating choice and an INCOMPETENT
choice ... gotta go with 'irritating'. With our
enemies very much on the move we cannot survive
'incompetent' anymore. Play-Time is OVER .
Chris Ahlstrom
2024-10-23 11:03:57 UTC
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Post by ***@ud0s4.net
I don't think K ever *really* had an edge - more
a MSM/Soros illusion.
In any case, she's drifted so far down now that even
her "friends" can't hide it anymore.
Between a Very Irritating choice and an INCOMPETENT
choice ... gotta go with 'irritating'. With our
enemies very much on the move we cannot survive
'incompetent' anymore. Play-Time is OVER .
LOL Sanity vs Trump's insanity. It shouldn't be this close.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-holds-46-43-lead-over-trump-amid-voter-gloom-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-10-22/

Harris holds 46%-43% lead over Trump amid voter gloom, Reuters/Ipsos poll
finds

Harris' lead in the six-day poll, which closed on Monday, differed little
from her 45% to 42% advantage over Trump in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted
a week earlier, reinforcing the view that the contest is extraordinarily
tight with just two weeks left before the Nov. 5 election.j

Are you a KGB psyops guy?
--
A man said to the Universe:
"Sir, I exist!"
"However," replied the Universe,
"the fact has not created in me a sense of obligation."
-- Stephen Crane
Skeeter
2024-10-23 11:58:23 UTC
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Permalink
Post by Chris Ahlstrom
Post by ***@ud0s4.net
I don't think K ever *really* had an edge - more
a MSM/Soros illusion.
In any case, she's drifted so far down now that even
her "friends" can't hide it anymore.
Between a Very Irritating choice and an INCOMPETENT
choice ... gotta go with 'irritating'. With our
enemies very much on the move we cannot survive
'incompetent' anymore. Play-Time is OVER .
LOL Sanity vs Trump's insanity. It shouldn't be this close.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-holds-46-43-lead-over-trump-amid-voter-gloom-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-10-22/
Harris holds 46%-43% lead over Trump amid voter gloom, Reuters/Ipsos poll
finds
Harris' lead in the six-day poll, which closed on Monday, differed little
from her 45% to 42% advantage over Trump in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted
a week earlier, reinforcing the view that the contest is extraordinarily
tight with just two weeks left before the Nov. 5 election.j
Are you a KGB psyops guy?
What a load of shit.
Lil dwarf Rudey
2024-10-28 16:03:25 UTC
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Post by Chris Ahlstrom
It shouldn't be this close.
You ain't.

Governor Swill /Rudy Canoza/Lou Bricano/J Carlson/Michael A
Terrell/Chris Ahlstrom/Intelligent Party/Alan Bond/Bill Flett/kami and a
few dozen other socks wrote:

Multiple death threats against Trump:
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Oh poor me I got shot at ...

Swill
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Cheer up, maybe someone else will try.

Swill

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Post by Chris Ahlstrom
No. I am a patriotic American who wants the country and its people to
thrive. Getting rid of Trump permanently
Post by Chris Ahlstrom
is an important step to getting there.
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That constitutes a DEATH THREAT against a former President, Rudey:


https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/871
18 U.S. Code § 871 - Threats against President and successors to the
Presidency
U.S. Code
Notes
prev | next
(a)Whoever knowingly and willfully deposits for conveyance in the mail
or for a delivery from any post office or by any letter carrier any
letter, paper, writing, print, missive, or document containing any
threat to take the life of, to kidnap, or to inflict bodily harm upon
the President of the United States, the President-elect, the Vice
President or other officer next in the order of succession to the office
of President of the United States, or the Vice President-elect, or
knowingly and willfully otherwise makes any such threat against the
President, President-elect, Vice President or other officer next in the
order of succession to the office of President, or Vice President-elect,
shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than five years,
or both.
(b)The terms “President-elect” and “Vice President-elect” as used in
this section shall mean such persons as are the apparent successful
candidates for the offices of President and Vice President,
respectively, as ascertained from the results of the general elections
held to determine the electors of President and Vice President in
accordance with title 3, United States Code, sections 1 and 2. The
phrase “other officer next in the order of succession to the office of
President” as used in this section shall mean the person next in the
order of succession to act as President in accordance with title 3,
United States Code, sections 19 and 20.
(June 25, 1948, ch. 645, 62 Stat. 740; June 1, 1955, ch. 115, § 1, 69
Stat. 80; Pub. L. 87–829, § 1, Oct. 15, 1962, 76 Stat. 956; Pub. L.
97–297, § 2, Oct. 12, 1982, 96 Stat. 1318; Pub. L. 103–322, title
XXXIII, § 330016(1)(H), Sept. 13, 1994, 108 Stat. 2147.)

9-65.200 - Threats Against the President and Successors to the
Presidency; Threats Against Former Presidents; and Certain Other Secret
Service Protectees
The Counterterrorism Section of the National Security Division has
supervisory authority over 18 U.S.C. §§ 871 and 879 cases. As great
caution must be taken in matters relating to the security of the persons
protected by 18 U.S.C. § 871, United States Attorneys are encouraged to
consult with the Counterterrorism Section (CTS) of the National Security
Division when they have doubts on the prosecutive merit of a case. For
the same reason, dismissal of complaints under 18 U.S.C. § 871, when the
defendant is in custody under the Mental Incompetency Statutes (18
U.S.C. §§ 4244, 4246), requires approval from CTS. In other cases,
United States Attorneys must consult prior to dismissing a count
involving, or entering into any sentence commitment or other case
settlement involving a § 871 charge.


https://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2024/01/phoenix-man-arrested-making-online-death-threats-against-president-and

PHOENIX –David Michael Hanson, 41, of Phoenix, was arrested on Wednesday
for making online threats against the President and Vice-President.
Hanson was charged by Federal criminal complaint on Tuesday with five
counts of Threats Against the President and Successors to the Presidency
and five counts of Interstate Communication of Threats.

The complaint alleges that in November and December of 2023, while
living in Arizona, Hanson used a social media platform to post threats
to murder the President and Vice President of the United States. On
November 19, 2023, Hanson posted online a series of threatening
statements including one that stated, “#joeAndKamala I’m asking you to
resign on Monday your alternative is death brutally murdered.” After the
U.S. Secret Service spoke to Hanson and warned him that it was a Federal
crime to post such threats, on December 23, 2023, Hanson posted another
series of similar threats aimed at the President and Vice-President.

Each count of Threats Against the President and Successors to the
Presidency carries a maximum sentence of five years in prison, a fine of
up to $250,000, and up to three years of supervised release. Each count
of Interstate Communication of Threats carries a maximum sentence of
five years in prison, a fine of up to $250,000, and up to three years of
supervised release.

A complaint is simply a method by which a person is charged with
criminal activity and raises no inference of guilt. An individual is
presumed innocent until evidence is presented to a jury that establishes
guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

The United States Secret Service is conducting the investigation in this
case. The United States Attorney’s Office, District of Arizona, is
handling the prosecution.


Those can be reported here:

https://tips.fbi.gov/home

https://www.justice.gov/action-center/report-crime-or-submit-complaint

https://www.secretservice.gov/contact

https://www.dhs.gov/see-something-say-something/reporting/california


Fellow citizens, won't you join in ending Rudey's terrorism here?

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