Discussion:
Saturday Night Supper Plans? 10/19/2024
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citizen winston smith
2024-10-24 22:20:41 UTC
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Trump is peeling up the alley in his black and yellow Ford.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/immigration/291320/trumps-list-289-accomplishments-in-just-20-months-relentless-promise-keeping/?utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=WE_Search_Brand-June&gad_source=5


Trump has compiled a remarkable record of presidential promise-keeping.”

The list:

Economic Growth
4.2 percent growth in the second quarter of 2018.
For the first time in more than a decade, growth is projected to exceed
3 percent over the calendar year.
Jobs

4 million new jobs have been created since the election, and more than
3.5 million since Trump took office.
More Americans are employed now than ever before in our history.
Jobless claims at lowest level in nearly five decades.
The economy has achieved the longest positive job-growth streak on record.
Job openings are at an all-time high and outnumber job seekers for the
first time on record.
Unemployment claims at 50 year low
African-American, Hispanic, and Asian-American unemployment rates have
all recently reached record lows.
African-American unemployment hit a record low of 5.9 percent in May 2018.
Hispanic unemployment at 4.5 percent.
Asian-American unemployment at record low of 2 percent.
Women’s unemployment recently at lowest rate in nearly 65 years.
Female unemployment dropped to 3.6 percent in May 2018, the lowest since
October 1953.
Youth unemployment recently reached its lowest level in more than 50 years.
July 2018’s youth unemployment rate of 9.2 percent was the lowest since
July 1966.
Veterans’ unemployment recently hit its lowest level in nearly two decades.
July 2018’s veterans’ unemployment rate of 3.0 percent matched the
lowest rate since May 2001.
Unemployment rate for Americans without a high school diploma recently
reached a record low.
Rate for disabled Americans recently hit a record low.
Blue-collar jobs recently grew at the fastest rate in more than three
decades.
Poll found that 85 percent of blue-collar workers believe their lives
are headed “in the right direction.”
68 percent reported receiving a pay increase in the past year.
Last year, job satisfaction among American workers hit its highest level
since 2005.
Nearly two-thirds of Americans rate now as a good time to find a quality
job.
Optimism about the availability of good jobs has grown by 25 percent.
Added more than 400,000 manufacturing jobs since the election.
Manufacturing employment is growing at its fastest pace in more than two
decades.
100,000 new jobs supporting the production & transport of oil & natural gas.
American Income

Median household income rose to $61,372 in 2017, a post-recession high.
Wages up in August by their fastest rate since June 2009.
Paychecks rose by 3.3 percent between 2016 and 2017, the most in a decade.
Council of Economic Advisers found that real wage compensation has grown
by 1.4 percent over the past year.
Some 3.9 million Americans off food stamps since the election.
Median income for Hispanic-Americans rose by 3.7 percent and surpassed
$50,000 for the first time ever in history.
Home-ownership among Hispanics is at the highest rate in nearly a decade.
Poverty rates for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans have reached
their lowest levels ever recorded.
American Optimism

Small business optimism has hit historic highs.
NFIB’s small business optimism index broke a 35 year-old record in August.
SurveyMonkey/CNBC’s small business confidence survey for Q3 of 2018
matched its all-time high.
Manufacturers are more confident than ever.
95 percent of U.S. manufacturers are optimistic about the future, the
highest ever.
Consumer confidence is at an 18-year high.
12 percent of Americans rate the economy as the most significant problem
facing our country, the lowest level on record.
Confidence in the economy is near a two-decade high, with 51 percent
rating the economy as good or excellent.
American Business

Investment is flooding back into the United States due to the tax cuts.
Over $450 billion dollars has already poured back into the U.S.,
including more than $300 billion in the first quarter of 2018.
Retail sales have surged. Commerce Department figures from August show
that retail sales increased 0.5 percent in July 2018, an increase of 6.4
percent from July 2017.
ISM’s index of manufacturing scored its highest reading in 14 years.
Worker productivity is the highest it has been in more than three years.
Steel and aluminum producers are re-opening.
Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ have all notched
record highs.
Dow hit record highs 70 times in 2017 alone, the most ever recorded in
one year.
Deregulation

Achieved massive deregulation at a rapid pace, completing 22
deregulatory actions to every one regulatory action during his first
year in office.
Signed legislation to roll back costly and harmful provisions of
Dodd-Frank, providing relief to credit unions, and community and
regional banks.
Federal agencies achieved more than $8 billion in lifetime net
regulatory cost savings.
Rolled back Obama’s burdensome Waters of the U.S. rule.
Used the Congressional Review Act to repeal regulations more times than
in history.
Tax Cuts

Biggest tax cuts and reforms in American history by signing the Tax Cuts
and Jobs act into law
Provided more than $5.5 trillion in gross tax cuts, nearly 60 percent of
which will go to families.
Increased the exemption for the death tax to help save Family Farms &
Small Business.
Nearly doubled the standard deduction for individuals and families.
Enabled vast majority of American families will be able to file their
taxes on a single page by claiming the standard deduction.
Doubled the child tax credit to help lessen the financial burden of
raising a family.
Lowered America’s corporate tax rate from the highest in the developed
world to allow American businesses to compete and win.
Small businesses can now deduct 20 percent of their business income.
Cut dozens of special interest tax breaks and closed loopholes for the
wealthy.
9 in 10 American workers are expected see an increase in their paychecks
thanks to the tax cuts, according to the Treasury Department.
More than 6 million of American workers have received wage increases,
bonuses, and increased benefits thanks to tax cuts.
Over 100 utility companies have lowered electric, gas, or water rates
thanks to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.
Ernst & Young found 89 percent of companies planned to increase worker
compensation thanks to the Trump tax cuts.
Established opportunity zones to spur investment in left behind communities.
Worker Development

Established a National Council for the American Worker to develop a
national strategy for training and retraining America’s workers for
high-demand industries.
Employers have signed Trump’s “Pledge to America’s Workers,” committing
to train or retrain more than 4.2 million workers and students.
Signed the first Perkins CTE reauthorization since 2006, authorizing
more than $1 billion for states each year to fund vocational and career
education programs.
Executive order expanding apprenticeship opportunities for students and
workers.
Domestic Infrastructure

Proposed infrastructure plan would utilize $200 billion in Federal funds
to spur at least $1.5 trillion in infrastructure investment across the
country.
Executive order expediting environmental reviews and approvals for high
priority infrastructure projects.
Federal agencies have signed the One Federal Decision Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) streamlining the federal permitting process for
infrastructure projects.
Rural prosperity task force and signed an executive order to help expand
broadband access in rural areas.
Health Care

Signed an executive order to help minimize the financial burden felt by
American households Signed legislation to improve the National Suicide
Hotline.
Signed the most comprehensive childhood cancer legislation ever into
law, which will advance childhood cancer research and improve treatments.
Signed Right-to-Try legislation, expanding health care options for
terminally ill patients.
Enacted changes to the Medicare 340B program, saving seniors an
estimated $320 million on drugs in 2018 alone.
FDA set a new record for generic drug approvals in 2017, saving
consumers nearly $9 billion.
Released a blueprint to drive down drug prices for American patients,
leading multiple major drug companies to announce they will freeze or
reverse price increases.
Expanded short-term, limited-duration health plans.
Let more employers to form Association Health Plans, enabling more small
businesses to join together and affordably provide health insurance to
their employees.
Cut Obamacare’s burdensome individual mandate penalty.
Signed legislation repealing Obamacare’s Independent Payment Advisory
Board, also known as the “death panels.”
USDA invested more than $1 billion in rural health care in 2017,
improving access to health care for 2.5 million people in rural
communities across 41 states
Proposed Title X rule to help ensure taxpayers do not fund the abortion
industry in violation of the law.
Reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy to keep foreign aid from
supporting the global abortion industry.
HHS formed a new division over protecting the rights of conscience and
religious freedom.
Overturned Obama administration’s midnight regulation prohibiting states
from defunding certain abortion facilities.
Signed executive order to help ensure that religious organizations are
not forced to choose between violating their religious beliefs by
complying with Obamacare’s contraceptive mandate or shutting their doors.
Combating Opioids

Chaired meeting the 73rd General Session of the United Nations
discussing the worldwide drug problem with international leaders.
Initiative to Stop Opioid Abuse and Reduce Drug Supply and Demand,
introducing new measures to keep dangerous drugs out of our communities.
$6 billion in new funding to fight the opioid epidemic.
DEA conducted a surge in April 2018 that arrested 28 medical professions
and revoked 147 registrations for prescribing too many opioids.
Brought the “Prescribed to Death” memorial to President’s Park near the
White House, helping raise awareness about the human toll of the opioid
crisis.
Helped reduce high-dose opioid prescriptions by 16 percent in 2017.
Opioid Summit on the administration-wide efforts to combat the opioid
crisis.
Launched a national public awareness campaign about the dangers of
opioid addiction.
Created a Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis
which recommended a number of pathways to tackle the opioid crisis.
Led two National Prescription Drug Take Back Days in 2017 and 2018,
collecting a record number of expired and unneeded prescription drugs
each time.
$485 million targeted grants in FY 2017 to help areas hit hardest by the
opioid crisis.
Signed INTERDICT Act, strengthening efforts to detect and intercept
synthetic opioids before they reach our communities.
DOJ secured its first-ever indictments against Chinese fentanyl
manufacturers.
Joint Criminal Opioid Darknet Enforcement (J-CODE) team, aimed at
disrupting online illicit opioid sales.
Declared the opioid crisis a Nationwide Public Health Emergency in
October 2017.
Law and Order

More U.S. Circuit Court judges confirmed in the first year in office
than ever.
Confirmed more than two dozen U. S. Circuit Court judges.
Followed through on the promise to nominate judges to the Supreme Court
who will adhere to the Constitution
Nominated and confirmed Justice Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh to the
Supreme Court.
Signed an executive order directing the Attorney General to develop a
strategy to more effectively prosecute people who commit crimes against
law enforcement officers.
Launched an evaluation of grant programs to make sure they prioritize
the protection and safety of law enforcement officers.
Established a task force to reduce crime and restore public safety in
communities across Signed an executive order to focus more federal
resources on dismantling transnational criminal organizations such as
drug cartels.
Signed an executive order to focus more federal resources on dismantling
transnational criminal organizations such as drug cartels.
Violent crime decreased in 2017 according to FBI statistics.
$137 million in grants through the COPS Hiring Program to preserve jobs,
increase community policing capacities, and support crime prevention
efforts.
Enhanced and updated the Project Safe Neighborhoods to help reduce
violent crime.
Signed legislation making it easier to target websites that enable sex
trafficking and strengthened penalties for people who promote or
facilitate prostitution.
Created an interagency task force working around the clock to prosecute
traffickers, protect victims, and prevent human trafficking.
Conducted Operation Cross Country XI to combat human trafficking,
rescuing 84 children and arresting 120 human traffickers.
Encouraged federal prosecutors to use the death penalty when possible in
the fight against the trafficking of deadly drugs.
New rule effectively banning bump stock sales in the United States.
Border Security and Immigration

Secured $1.6 billion for border wall construction in the March 2018
omnibus bill.
Construction of a 14-mile section of border wall began near San Diego.
Worked to protect American communities from the threat posed by the vile
MS-13 gang.
ICE’s Homeland Security Investigations division arrested 796 MS-13
members and associates in FY 2017, an 83 percent increase from the prior
year.
Justice worked with partners in Central America to secure criminal
charges against more than 4,000 MS-13 members.
Border Patrol agents arrested 228 illegal aliens affiliated with MS-13
in FY 2017.
Fighting to stop the scourge of illegal drugs at our border.
ICE HSI seized more than 980,000 pounds of narcotics in FY 2017,
including 2,370 pounds of fentanyl and 6,967 pounds of heroin.
ICE HSI dedicated nearly 630,000 investigative hours towards halting the
illegal import of fentanyl.
ICE HSI made 11,691 narcotics-related arrests in FY 2017.
Stop Opioid Abuse and Reduce Drug Supply and Demand introduced new
measures to keep dangerous drugs out the United States.
Signed the INTERDICT Act into law, enhancing efforts to detect and
intercept synthetic opioids.
DOJ secured its first-ever indictments against Chinese fentanyl
manufacturers.
DOJ launched their Joint Criminal Opioid Darknet Enforcement (J-CODE)
team, aimed at disrupting online illicit opioid sales.
Released an immigration framework that includes the resources required
to secure our borders and close legal loopholes, and repeatedly called
on Congress to fix our broken immigration laws.
Authorized the deployment of the National Guard to help secure the border.
Enhanced vetting of individuals entering the U.S. from countries that
don’t meet security standards, helping to ensure individuals who pose a
threat to our country are identified before they enter.
These procedures were upheld in a June 2018 Supreme Court hearing.
ICE removed over 226,000 illegal aliens from the United States in 2017.
ICE rescued or identified over 500 human trafficking victims and over
900 child exploitation victims in 2017 alone.
In 2017, ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) arrested more than
127,000 aliens with criminal convictions or charges, responsible for
Over 76,000 with dangerous drug offenses.
More than 48,000 with assault offenses.
More than 11,000 with weapons offenses.
More than 5,000 with sexual assault offenses.
More than 2,000 with kidnapping offenses.
Over 1,800 with homicide offenses.
Created the Victims of Immigration Crime Engagement (VOICE) Office in
order to support the victims and families affected by illegal alien crime.
More than doubled the number of counties participating in the 287(g)
program, which allows jails to detain criminal aliens until they are
transferred to ICE custody.
Trade

Negotiating and renegotiating better trade deals, achieving free, fair,
and reciprocal trade for the United States.
Agreed to work with the European Union towards zero tariffs, zero
non-tariff barriers, and zero subsides.
Deal with the European Union to increase U.S. energy exports to Europe.
Litigated multiple WTO disputes targeting unfair trade practices and
upholding our right to enact fair trade laws.
Finalized a revised trade agreement with South Korea, which includes
provisions to increase American automobile exports.
Negotiated an historic U.S.-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement to replace NAFTA.
Agreement to begin trade negotiations for a U.S.-Japan trade agreement.
Secured $250 billion in new trade and investment deals in China and $12
billion in Vietnam.
Established a Trade and Investment Working Group with the United
Kingdom, laying the groundwork for post-Brexit trade.
Enacted steel and aluminum tariffs to protect our vital steel and
aluminum producers and strengthen our national security.
Conducted 82 anti-dumping and countervailing duty investigations in 2017
alone.
Confronting China’s unfair trade practices after years of Washington
looking the other way.
25 percent tariff on $50 billion of goods imported from China and later
imposed an additional 10% tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods.
Conducted an investigation into Chinese forced technology transfers,
unfair licensing practices, and intellectual property theft.
Imposed safeguard tariffs to protect domestic washing machines and solar
products manufacturers hurt by China’s trade policies
Withdrew from the job-killing Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).
Secured access to new markets for America’s farmers.
Recent deal with Mexico included new improvements enabling food and
agriculture to trade more fairly.
Recent agreement with the E.U. will reduce barriers and increase trade
of American soybeans to Europe.
Won a WTO dispute regarding Indonesia’s unfair restriction of U.S.
agricultural exports.
Defended American Tuna fisherman and packagers before the WTO
Opened up Argentina to American pork experts for the first time in a
quarter-century
American beef exports have returned to china for the first time in more
than a decade
OK’d up to $12 billion in aid for farmers affected by unfair trade
retaliation.
Energy

Presidential Memorandum to clear roadblocks to construction of the
Keystone XL Pipeline.
Presidential Memorandum declaring that the Dakota Access Pipeline serves
the national interest and initiating the process to complete construction.
Opened up the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge to energy exploration.
Coal exports up over 60 percent in 2017.
Rolled back the “stream protection rule” to prevent it from harming
America’s coal industry.
Cancelled Obama’s anti-coal Clean Power Plan and proposed the Affordable
Clean Energy Rule as a replacement.
Withdrew from the job-killing Paris climate agreement, which would have
cost the U.S. nearly $3 trillion and led to 6.5 million fewer industrial
sector jobs by 2040.
U.S. oil production has achieved its highest level in American history
United States is now the largest crude oil producer in the world.
U.S. has become a net natural gas exporter for the first time in six
decades.
Action to expedite the identification and extraction of critical
minerals that are vital to the nation’s security and economic prosperity.
Took action to reform National Ambient Air Quality Standards,
benefitting American manufacturers.
Rescinded Obama’s hydraulic fracturing rule, which was expected to cost
the industry $32 million per year.
Proposed an expansion of offshore drilling as part of an all-of-the
above energy strategy
Held a lease sale for offshore oil and gas leases in the Gulf of Mexico
in August 2018.
Got EU to increase its imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the
United States.
Issued permits for the New Burgos Pipeline that will cross the
U.S.-Mexico border.
Foreign Policy

Moved the U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
Withdrew from Iran deal and immediately began the process of re-imposing
sanctions that had been lifted or waived.
Treasury has issued sanctions targeting Iranian activities and entities,
including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force
Since enacting sanctions, Iran’s crude exports have fallen off, the
value of Iran’s currency has plummeted, and international companies have
pulled out of the country.
All nuclear-related sanctions will be back in full force by early
November 2018.
Historic summit with North Korean President Kim Jong-Un, bringing
beginnings of peace and denuclearization to the Korean Peninsula.
The two leaders have exchanged letters and high-level officials from
both sides have met resulting in tremendous progress.
North Korea has halted nuclear and missile tests.
Negotiated the return of the remains of missing-in-action soldiers from
the Korean War.
Imposed strong sanctions on Venezuelan dictator Nicholas Maduro and his
inner circle.
Executive order preventing those in the U.S. from carrying out certain
transactions with the Venezuelan regime, including prohibiting the
purchase of the regime’s debt.
Responded to the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian regime.
Rolled out sanctions targeting individuals and entities tied to Syria’s
chemical weapons program.
Directed strikes in April 2017 against a Syrian airfield used in a
chemical weapons attack on innocent civilians.
Joined allies in launching airstrikes in April 2018 against targets
associated with Syria’s chemical weapons use.
New Cuba policy that enhanced compliance with U.S. law and held the
Cuban regime accountable for political oppression and human rights abuses.
Treasury and State are working to channel economic activity away from
the Cuban regime, particularly the military.
Changed the rules of engagement, empowering commanders to take the fight
to ISIS.
ISIS has lost virtually all of its territory, more than half of which
has been lost under Trump.
ISIS’ self-proclaimed capital city, Raqqah, was liberated in October 2017.
All Iraqi territory had been liberated from ISIS.
More than a dozen American hostages have been freed from captivity all
of the world.
Action to combat Russia’s malign activities, including their efforts to
undermine the sanctity of United States elections.
Expelled dozens of Russian intelligence officers from the United States
and ordered the closure of the Russian consulate in Seattle, WA.
Banned the use of Kaspersky Labs software on government computers, due
to the company’s ties to Russian intelligence.
Imposed sanctions against five Russian entities and three individuals
for enabling Russia’s military and intelligence units to increase
Russia’s offensive cyber capabilities.
Sanctions against seven Russian oligarchs, and 12 companies they own or
control, who profit from Russia’s destabilizing activities.
Sanctioned 100 targets in response to Russia’s occupation of Crimea and
aggression in Eastern Ukraine.
Enhanced support for Ukraine’s Armed Forces to help Ukraine better
defend itself.
Helped win U.S. bid for the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles.
Helped win U.S.-Mexico-Canada’s united bid for 2026 World Cup.
Defense

Executive order keeping the detention facilities at U.S. Naval Station
Guantanamo Bay open.
$700 billion in military funding for FY 2018 and $716 billion for FY 2019.
Largest military pay raise in nearly a decade.
Ordered a Nuclear Posture Review to ensure America’s nuclear forces are
up to date and serve as a credible deterrent.
Released America’s first fully articulated cyber strategy in 15 years.
New strategy on national biodefense, which better prepares the nation to
defend against biological threats.
Administration has announced that it will use whatever means necessary
to protect American citizens and servicemen from unjust prosecution by
the International Criminal Court.
Released an America first National Security Strategy.
Put in motion the launch of a Space Force as a new branch of the
military and relaunched the National Space Council.
Encouraged North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies to increase
defense spending to their agree-upon levels.
In 2017 alone, there was an increase of more than 4.8 percent in defense
spending amongst NATO allies.
Every member state has increased defense spending.
Eight NATO allies will reach the 2 percent benchmark by the end of 2018
and 15 allies are on trade to do so by 2024.
NATO allies spent over $42 billion dollars more on defense since 2016.
Executive order to help military spouses find employment as their
families deploy domestically and abroad.
Veterans affairs

Signed the VA Accountability Act and expanded VA telehealth services,
walk-in-clinics, and same-day urgent primary and mental health care.
Delivered more appeals decisions – 81,000 – to veterans in a single year
than ever before.
Strengthened protections for individuals who come forward and identify
programs occurring within the VA.
Signed legislation that provided $86.5 billion in funding for the
Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), the largest dollar amount in
history for the VA.
VA MISSION Act, enacting sweeping reform to the VA system that:
Consolidated and strengthened VA community care programs.
Funding for the Veterans Choice program.
Expanded eligibility for the Family Caregivers Program.
Gave veterans more access to walk-in care.
Strengthened the VA’s ability to recruit and retain quality healthcare
professionals.
Enabled the VA to modernize its assets and infrastructure.
Signed the VA Choice and Quality Employment Act in 2017, which
authorized $2.1 billion in addition funds for the Veterans Choice Program.
Worked to shift veterans’ electronic medical records to the same system
used by the Department of Defense, a decades old priority.
Issued an executive order requiring the Secretaries of Defense, Homeland
Security, and Veterans Affairs to submit a joint plan to provide
veterans access to access to mental health treatment as they transition
to civilian life.
Increased transparency and accountability at the VA by launching an
online “Access and Quality Tool,” providing veterans with access to wait
time and quality of care data.
Signed legislation to modernize the claims and appeal process at the VA.
Harry W. Colmery Veterans Educational Assistance Act, providing enhanced
educational benefits to veterans, service members, and their family members.
Lifted a 15-year limit on veterans’ access to their educational benefits.
Created a White House VA Hotline to help veterans and principally
staffed it with veterans and direct family members of veterans.
VA employees are being held accountable for poor performance, with more
than 4,000 VA employees removed, demoted, and suspended so far.
Signed the Veterans Treatment Court Improvement Act, increasing the
number of VA employees that can assist justice-involved veterans.
Citizen Winston Smith
2024-10-26 22:00:56 UTC
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Custom paint job for Der Donald.
Right here:

https://x.com/_The_Prophet__/status/1850243828516786257


SightBringer
@_The_Prophet__
📊 Pennsylvania Data Update: Confirmed Trends Reinforce GOP Advantage 🦅

Key Insights from this Latest Data:

🔍 Data Breakdown and Model Implications:

1️⃣ Declining Democratic Turnout in Key Areas: The new data shows that
black voter returns in Philadelphia are down 41% from 2020 levels.
Across traditionally strong Democratic precincts outside Philadelphia,
such as Pittsburgh, there’s also no substantial pickup in
turnout—indicating lower Democratic enthusiasm or engagement in these areas.

2️⃣ GOP Performance Surpassing 2020 Levels: Republican returns have
significantly increased in pivotal areas, such as the South Central
growth regions and competitive suburban communities. Our model now
captures these gains as an established trend, reinforcing the earlier
adjustments we made based on rural and smaller-county GOP surges.

3️⃣ Narrowing Democratic Margins in Suburban Philadelphia: Although
Democrats maintain a lead in suburban Philly, GOP gains are narrowing
the gap steadily. Our model flagged this suburban shift as critical
weeks ago, and this current data confirms that prediction, suggesting a
tightening race in critical suburbs.

What This Means for Our Model:

Based on this sustained pattern of GOP gains in key regions, along with
underwhelming Democratic turnout in their strongholds, our model holds
firm with an 80% probability for a GOP win in Pennsylvania. Each new
data update solidifies this outlook, making it increasingly difficult
for Democrats to make up ground with only days left until Election Day.

Conclusion: The data points toward a solidifying GOP advantage in
Pennsylvania, driven by Republican gains and weakened Democratic turnout
in key precincts. All signs continue to reinforce our projected path to
a GOP victory in the state.

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